Pair #2684

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 620408

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24SABBAP-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Sabalenka vs Baptiste : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-24T17:00:00Z
Volume: 53507

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.0900
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Quarterfinal are entirely separate tournaments. Neither result implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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