Pair #2683

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 5348

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24MBOMUC-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the Mboko vs Muchova : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-03-24T17:00:00Z
Volume: 19873

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the Mboko vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Muchova must win every match including the quarterfinal against Mboko. So winning the tournament necessitates winning that quarterfinal.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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