Pair #2681

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4132

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR24MBOMUC-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the Mboko vs Muchova : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-24T17:00:00Z
Volume: 73913

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the Mboko vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:00:29Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Mboko must win every match including the quarterfinal against Muchova. So if she wins the tournament, she necessarily won that quarterfinal match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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