Pair #2679

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23SHEHUM-HUM

Will Ugo Humbert win the Shevchenko vs Humbert : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Ugo Humbert
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 7470

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ugo Humbert wins the Shevchenko vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR23SHEHUM-1-HUM

Will Ugo Humbert win set 1 in the Alexander Shevchenko vs Ugo Humbert match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Ugo Humbert
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 201

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ugo Humbert wins set 1 in the Alexander Shevchenko vs Ugo Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:23Z

Reasoning: Winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match, and winning the match does not require winning set 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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