Pair #2677

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22AUGATM-ATM

Will Terence Atmane win the Auger-Aliassime vs Atmane : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Terence Atmane
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 5893

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.7600
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Terence Atmane wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR22AUGATM-1-ATM

Will Terence Atmane win set 1 in the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmane match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Terence Atmane
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 1258

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Terence Atmane wins set 1 in the Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:23Z

Reasoning: Winning the overall match does not require winning set 1 — Atmane could lose set 1 and still win the match. And winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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