Pair #2675

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-OST

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jelena Ostapenko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1035

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jelena Ostapenko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23BAPOST-OST

Will Jelena Ostapenko win the Baptiste vs Ostapenko : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jelena Ostapenko
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 9400

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jelena Ostapenko wins the Baptiste vs Ostapenko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:23Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Ostapenko must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Baptiste. Winning the tournament necessarily means she won that match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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