Pair #2672

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23CILZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Cilic vs Zverev : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 11351

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the Cilic vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1626747

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:23Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning a Round of 32 match at the Miami Open are at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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