Pair #2668

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-TIA

Will Frances Tiafoe win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Frances Tiafoe
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 28318

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Frances Tiafoe wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23TIAMEN-TIA

Will Frances Tiafoe win the Tiafoe vs Mensik : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Frances Tiafoe
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 6622

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Frances Tiafoe wins the Tiafoe vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:23Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Tiafoe must win every match including the Round of 32 match against Mensik. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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