Pair #2667

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23TIAMEN-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the Tiafoe vs Mensik : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 6774

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jakub Mensik wins the Tiafoe vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 297888

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jakub Mensik wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:03Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the Miami Open are entirely separate tournaments. Winning the French Open has no logical bearing on the Miami Open Round of 32 match, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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