Pair #2666

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 3827

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jakub Mensik wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23TIAMEN-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the Tiafoe vs Mensik : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 6774

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jakub Mensik wins the Tiafoe vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:02:03Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Mensik must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Tiafoe. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that earlier round match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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