Pair #265

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-EDM

Will Edmonton Oilers win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 55564

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-EDM

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 227639

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Edmonton Oilers wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division is a regular season achievement and does not logically necessitate winning the Western Conference Finals. Winning the WCF does not necessitate winning the Pacific Division. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue