Pair #2643

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 710628

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 594785

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:01:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not imply winning the Houston Open, and winning the Houston Open does not imply winning the Masters. These are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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