Pair #2642

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1958921

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Aaron Rai wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53838

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:01:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not imply winning the Houston Open, and winning the Houston Open does not imply winning the Masters. No logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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