Pair #264

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPRES-26-EDM

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 320

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Edmonton Oilers wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-EDM

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 227639

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Edmonton Oilers wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record) does not logically necessitate winning the Western Conference Finals — that is a playoff outcome. Winning the WCF does not necessitate winning the President's Trophy. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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