Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SLOW
Will Shane Lowry win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6938197
YES ask: 0.0640
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0640
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Shane Lowry wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SLOW
Will Shane Lowry win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 186782
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Shane Lowry wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:01:20Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Houston Open are entirely independent events. Neither logically necessitates the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.9500
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A