Pair #2611

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-MED

Will Daniil Medvedev win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Daniil Medvedev
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 41704

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniil Medvedev wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR23CERMED-MED

Will Daniil Medvedev win the Cerundolo vs Medvedev : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Daniil Medvedev
Expiration: 2026-03-23T18:00:00Z
Volume: 100309

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Daniil Medvedev wins the Cerundolo vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:01:07Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Medvedev must win every match including the Round of 32. If he faced Cerundolo in that round, winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that match. However, there is a slight caveat if Cerundolo withdrew before a ball was played (the match rules require 'after a ball has been played'), which creates a small edge case. In the normal scenario this implication holds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue