Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLPACIFIC-26-EDM
Will Edmonton Oilers win the NHL Pacific Division?
Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 55564
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-EDM
Will the Edmonton Oilers be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 65974
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Edmonton Oilers are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:17Z
Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division implies making the playoffs (division winners qualify), but making the playoffs does not imply winning the division — teams can qualify as wild cards. Reversed, winning the Pacific Division does necessitate qualifying for the playoffs, but the playoff qualifier event does not necessitate winning the division. No single direction holds universally.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A