Pair #2606

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-CGAU

Will Coco Gauff win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2434

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23CIRGAU-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Cirstea vs Gauff : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 8771

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the Cirstea vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: Winning a Grand Slam in 2026 has no logical connection to winning a WTA Miami R16 match. Miami is not a Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -57.16% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6400
Days to maturity: 213
Hurdle yield: 4.28%
Excess yield: -61.44% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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