Pair #2605

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 146036

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1300

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Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23CIRGAU-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Cirstea vs Gauff : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 8771

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the Cirstea vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Round of 16 match are entirely separate tournaments. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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