Pair #2604

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1194

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Qinwen Zheng wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23SABZHE-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the Sabalenka vs Zheng : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-03-23T21:20:00Z
Volume: 3760

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Qinwen Zheng wins the Sabalenka vs Zheng professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Zheng must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Sabalenka. Winning the tournament necessarily means winning that R16 match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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