Pair #2602

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 23414

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Qinwen Zheng wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1194

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Qinwen Zheng wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 0.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -4.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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