Pair #260

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-EDM

Will the Edmonton Oilers be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 65974

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Edmonton Oilers are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-EDM

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 320

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Edmonton Oilers wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy implies making the playoffs (best record in the league virtually guarantees a playoff spot), but technically the President's Trophy is awarded for best regular season record and does not strictly guarantee playoff qualification under all conceivable rule scenarios. More importantly, making the playoffs does not imply winning the President's Trophy. No clean logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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