Pair #2598

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 23877

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23RYBGIB-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the Rybakina vs Gibson : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 6532

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Elena Rybakina wins the Rybakina vs Gibson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Rybakina must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Gibson. Winning the tournament necessarily means winning that R16 match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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