Pair #2596

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 150218

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23SABZHE-SAB

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Sabalenka vs Zheng : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Aryna Sabalenka
Expiration: 2026-03-23T21:20:00Z
Volume: 9615

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the Sabalenka vs Zheng professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:45Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Sabalenka must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Zheng. If she wins the tournament, she necessarily won that R16 match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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