Pair #2593

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 5348

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

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Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23MUCEAL-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Eala : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 5301

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the Muchova vs Eala professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:28Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Muchova must win every match including the R16 match against Eala. Winning the tournament necessarily implies winning this specific match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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