Pair #2591

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4132

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23ANDMBO-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the Andreeva vs Mboko : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 52112

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Victoria Mboko wins the Andreeva vs Mboko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:28Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Mboko must win every match including the R16 match against Andreeva. Winning the tournament necessarily implies winning this specific match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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