Pair #2590

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 92179

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23ANDMBO-MBO

Will Victoria Mboko win the Andreeva vs Mboko : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Victoria Mboko
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 52112

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victoria Mboko wins the Andreeva vs Mboko professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:28Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open has no logical connection to winning a Miami Open R16 match. These are separate tournaments with no dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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