KXNHL-26-EDM
Will Edmonton Oilers win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2103119
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300
KXNHLWEST-26-EDM
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 227639
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:17Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, the Oilers must have won the Western Conference Finals first. Winning the Cup logically necessitates winning the Western Conference Finals. The reverse is not true — they could win the WCF but lose the Stanley Cup Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-44.77%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0500
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-48.99%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T10:52:08Z