Pair #2589

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 9229

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23CRIPEG-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Cristian vs Pegula : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 3344

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Cristian vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:28Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Pegula must win every match including the R16 match against Cristian. Winning the tournament necessarily implies winning this specific match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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