Pair #2586

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4217

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR23ANIBEN-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the Anisimova vs Bencic : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-23T17:00:00Z
Volume: 3608

YES ask: 0.5800
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the Anisimova vs Bencic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-23T08:00:28Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Anisimova must win every match including the R16 match against Bencic. So winning the tournament necessarily implies winning this specific R16 match. The reverse does not hold — she could win the R16 but lose later.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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