Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHL-26-EDM
Will Edmonton Oilers win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2103119
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPRES-26-EDM
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Edmonton Oilers
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 320
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Edmonton Oilers wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:55Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require winning the President's Trophy, and winning the President's Trophy does not require winning the Stanley Cup. These are independent achievements.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
26.85%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.9800
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
+22.64%
PROFITABLE