Pair #2561

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 22415

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22OPEFRI-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the Opelka vs Fritz : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14700

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins the Opelka vs Fritz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:16Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Fritz must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Opelka. Winning the tournament necessarily implies winning that match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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