Pair #2559

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-KOR

Will Sebastian Korda win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Sebastian Korda
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 23158

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sebastian Korda wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22ALCKOR-KOR

Will Sebastian Korda win the Alcaraz vs Korda : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Sebastian Korda
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 5417

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sebastian Korda wins the Alcaraz vs Korda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:16Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Korda must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Alcaraz. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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