Pair #2557

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 47498

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1200

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Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22FILTSI-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the Fils vs Tsitsipas : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 28066

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the Fils vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:00Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Arthur Fils must win every match including the Round of 32 match against Tsitsipas. Winning the tournament necessitates winning this specific match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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