Pair #2555

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-TSI

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Stefanos Tsitsipas
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 6707

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22FILTSI-TSI

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Fils vs Tsitsipas : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Stefanos Tsitsipas
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 9230

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the Fils vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:00Z

Reasoning: To win the Miami Open, Tsitsipas must win every match including the Round of 32 match against Fils. Winning the tournament necessitates winning this specific match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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