Pair #255

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-ANA

Will Anaheim Ducks win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Anaheim Ducks
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 84020

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-ANA

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Anaheim Ducks
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 578888

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Anaheim Ducks wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division guarantees a playoff spot but not winning the Western Conference Finals. Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require having won the Pacific Division. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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