Pair #2548

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-MSTE

Will Maximilian Steinlechner win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Maximilian Steinlechner
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2374

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maximilian Steinlechner wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-MSTE

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Maximilian Steinlechner make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Maximilian Steinlechner
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2150

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maximilian Steinlechner makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:00Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires having made the cut. If Maximilian Steinlechner wins, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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