Pair #2547

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-XZHA

Will Xinjun Zhang win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Xinjun Zhang
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 935

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xinjun Zhang wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-XZHA

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Xinjun Zhang make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Xinjun Zhang
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 419

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Xinjun Zhang makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:02:00Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, Xinjun Zhang must have made the cut. You cannot win a golf tournament without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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