Pair #2545

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-ALC

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Carlos Alcaraz
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 32781

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22ALCKOR-ALC

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Alcaraz vs Korda : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Carlos Alcaraz
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 74691

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the Alcaraz vs Korda professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:39Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Alcaraz must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Korda. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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