Pair #2543

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22MOUSIN-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the Moutet vs Sinner : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 6672

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jannik Sinner wins the Moutet vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1165209

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.2600
Last: 0.7500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jannik Sinner wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:39Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is a completely different tournament from the ATP Miami Open. No logical implication exists in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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