Pair #2541

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 199273

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300

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Rules

If Jannik Sinner wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR22MOUSIN-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the Moutet vs Sinner : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-22T18:00:00Z
Volume: 6672

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jannik Sinner wins the Moutet vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:39Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Sinner must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Moutet. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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