Pair #2539

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 23414

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Qinwen Zheng wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR22ZHEKEY-ZHE

Will Qinwen Zheng win the Zheng vs Keys : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Qinwen Zheng
Expiration: 2026-03-22T17:00:00Z
Volume: 3699

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.5700
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Qinwen Zheng wins the Zheng vs Keys professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:39Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is a completely different tournament from the WTA Miami Open. No logical implication exists in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4300
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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