Pair #2531

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2030

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR22JOVGIB-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Gibson : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-03-22T17:00:00Z
Volume: 11330

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Gibson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:21Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Jovic must win every match including the R32 match against Gibson. So winning the tournament necessarily means she won this match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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