Pair #2529

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR22JOVGIB-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Gibson : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-03-22T17:00:00Z
Volume: 11330

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Gibson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:21Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning a Miami Open R32 match are entirely separate events with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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