Pair #2528

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70032

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-MUC

Will Karolina Muchova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Karolina Muchova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 5348

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karolina Muchova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:21Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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