Pair #2522

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-CORT

Will Carlos Ortiz win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Carlos Ortiz
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11808

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carlos Ortiz wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-CORT

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Carlos Ortiz finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Carlos Ortiz
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 445

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carlos Ortiz finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:05Z

Reasoning: Winning LIV Golf South Africa means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue