Pair #2513

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-DWU

Valspar Championship: Will Dylan Wu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11456

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-DWU

Valspar Championship: Will Dylan Wu finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5493

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7600
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:01:05Z

Reasoning: If Dylan Wu finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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