Pair #2500

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 436471

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ADUM

Valspar Championship: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 514

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:00:48Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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