Pair #2499

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-ADUM

Valspar Championship: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1055

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.7900
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-ADUM

Valspar Championship: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 514

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:00:48Z

Reasoning: If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well (top 5 is a subset of top 10).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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