Pair #2491

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-AANC

Will Abraham Ancer win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Abraham Ancer
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56601

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Abraham Ancer wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-AANC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Abraham Ancer finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Abraham Ancer
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 283

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Abraham Ancer finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: If Abraham Ancer wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. However, finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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